Forex markets trend long term, they always have and they always will as long as we have a free market and the big trends which reflect the underlying economic cycle can last for many weeks, months or even years. If you learn to trend follow correctly you can make huge long term profits in around 30 minutes a day...
Many traders like to trade the market noise and trade short term but this is doomed to failure, as all short term volatility is random. If you trade the big trends you get better odds, more profits and spend less time on your trading. Lets look at trend following in more detail.
If you want to succeed at Forex trend following, you should keep the key points in mind below when formulating your Forex trading strategy.
Simple and Robust
The best trend following systems are simple and it's a fact that in Forex simple systems work better than complex ones, as they have fewer elements to break than complex ones. A graphic example of this is the free one we have on this site which has only one rule yet, test it and you will see how much money it makes. A Successful trend following system can be based on just looking at support and resistance and have a few indictors to confirm your view and that will work just fine.
Use Breakouts
All big trends start and continue from breakouts to new market highs or lows so if you are considering trend following, breakout methodology should be used in your Trading strategy. Breakouts are simple to understand and simply trade the reality of price change and trading breakouts is a highs odds way of trading Forex.
Trade Infrequently
I know traders that trade maybe once or twice a month and make triple digit gains and that's because they focus on the best high odds trades. You get nothing for effort in Forex trading, you're judged purely on results and if you are patient and wait for the best set ups you will increase your odds of success and reduce your work rate
Acceptance of Short Term Volatility
If you are tend following in Forex you are after trends that last for weeks, months or even years and you have to accept that you cannot predict tops or bottoms, you always have to give a bit back at the end of a trend and you also have to accept short term drawdown in equity against you as you follow the trend.
Long term trend following, requires patience and discipline but if you caught just 60% of every major trend, you would make a lot of money.
10/28/09
10/25/09
Knowing the Ins and Outs of Chandelier Exit
Have you ever heard of a stop placement strategy that trails stop based on previous 'high' points? It is called Chandelier exit as it hangs down from the high point or the ceiling of our trade, just as a chandelier hangs from a room ceiling. The distance, which is usually calculated from the high point to the trailing stop; could also be calculated in dollars or in contract based points. However, the value of this trailing stop moves upward very promptly as higher highs is reached.
The Chandelier Exit, which has a trailing stop from either the highest high of the trade or the highest close of the trade, is best measured in units of Average True Range (ATR). One of the many factors leading to use ATR for measuring the distance from the high to our stop is that, it is pertinent across markets and is adaptive to changes in unpredictability.
The essence of this calculative measure is that, even on expansion and contraction of trading ranges, our stop will automatically adjust and move to the apt level, thereby, constantly staying in tune with changing market conditions. Chandelier Exit is one of the most tried exit methodology used across a varied portfolio of futures markets to generate profitable test results.
It is imperative that the changes in unpredictability can curtail or stretch the distance to the actual stop, since the highs used to hang the Chandelier move only upward. However, in order to witness less fluctuation in the stop distance, you can use a longer moving average to calculate Average True Range. In other ways, shorter moving average is required, in case you want the stop placement to be more adaptive to fluctuating market conditions.
When short averages for the ATR is used; brief periods of small ranges can bring the stops too close, abnormally resulting in premature exit. To avoid this, you can have a short and highly adaptive ATR while calculating a short average and a longer average and using the average that produces the widest stop.
Although Chandelier Exit differs from Channel Exit (which trails a stop based on previous 'low' points), the combination of both, where the trade is initialized by the trailing Channel Exit and then adding the Chandelier Exit, after the price has moved away from the entrance point, will help in making the open trade lucrative. Here the Channel Exit is fastened at a low point and does not move up as new profits are accomplished. At the same time, it is necessary to have the Chandelier Exit at the right position so that the exits are never too far away from the high point of the trade.
The fundamentals behind combining the exit techniques, Channel and Chandelier exit is that, while Channel Exit as a suitable stop that very steadily rises at the commencement of the trade, switching over to Chandelier Exit is necessary to ensure better exit that protects more of our profit. This feature makes Chandelier Exit one of the most sought after rational exits from the profitable trades.
The Chandelier Exit, which has a trailing stop from either the highest high of the trade or the highest close of the trade, is best measured in units of Average True Range (ATR). One of the many factors leading to use ATR for measuring the distance from the high to our stop is that, it is pertinent across markets and is adaptive to changes in unpredictability.
The essence of this calculative measure is that, even on expansion and contraction of trading ranges, our stop will automatically adjust and move to the apt level, thereby, constantly staying in tune with changing market conditions. Chandelier Exit is one of the most tried exit methodology used across a varied portfolio of futures markets to generate profitable test results.
It is imperative that the changes in unpredictability can curtail or stretch the distance to the actual stop, since the highs used to hang the Chandelier move only upward. However, in order to witness less fluctuation in the stop distance, you can use a longer moving average to calculate Average True Range. In other ways, shorter moving average is required, in case you want the stop placement to be more adaptive to fluctuating market conditions.
When short averages for the ATR is used; brief periods of small ranges can bring the stops too close, abnormally resulting in premature exit. To avoid this, you can have a short and highly adaptive ATR while calculating a short average and a longer average and using the average that produces the widest stop.
Although Chandelier Exit differs from Channel Exit (which trails a stop based on previous 'low' points), the combination of both, where the trade is initialized by the trailing Channel Exit and then adding the Chandelier Exit, after the price has moved away from the entrance point, will help in making the open trade lucrative. Here the Channel Exit is fastened at a low point and does not move up as new profits are accomplished. At the same time, it is necessary to have the Chandelier Exit at the right position so that the exits are never too far away from the high point of the trade.
The fundamentals behind combining the exit techniques, Channel and Chandelier exit is that, while Channel Exit as a suitable stop that very steadily rises at the commencement of the trade, switching over to Chandelier Exit is necessary to ensure better exit that protects more of our profit. This feature makes Chandelier Exit one of the most sought after rational exits from the profitable trades.
10/22/09
How to develop a profitable forex trading stratey
Before you plunge into one of the most liquid, unpredictable and profitable markets in the world, there are some things that you should know about before putting your money in the hands of a forex broker. When money is involved, there are a lot of things you should consider, and these are the key to developing the best Forex strategy, for you to start making a profit. For instance, there is a great deal of money management that must be put in place before you run off with a lot of hope in your pocket. Hope is not going to pay the bills. Your money is and you need to know when and how much of your money you are going to use.
Always set yourself some realistic targets and limits to ensure that you do not spend too much money. Also, do not fall prey to the gambling endemic that is afflicting many Forex traders - this means they simply cannot stop trading no matter how much they loose and they often make irrational decisions in order to 'win' back the money that they have lost. Set yourself some parameters and stick to them, you will regret the fact that you account has run dry and you start to owe the brokerage a sum of money. Also, always have some risk capital on hand so that when things do go wrong, you will be able to bail yourself out. The total sum of your investment and risk capital should be an amount that you are able to afford.
Nobody should go into trading with their life savings in tow. The capital you put into the commodities market should be capital you can spend and if you do lose, will not have an adverse affect on your life style. That said, Forex trading is all about watching market patterns and market psychology. Unlike normal and traditional commodities trading, many people would say that the Forex market falls into a pattern when it comes to either a crisis or an upheaval within currencies. Issues like inflation, political violence and economic decisions can adversely affect the performance of the currency pair you have chosen. But there is always a pattern and this pattern is the structure of many trading strategies of experienced investors. For example, you must learn that there are many 'safe' currencies in the market that investors flock to when there is wind of a calamity in global economies. This is just one aspect.
Market psychology is ruled by major decisions my collective moves in the market. Because of the fact that huge multicontinental banks are the biggest driving forces within the FX market, they have pre planned moves when situations come up. Your job as an investor is to read the signs and react accordingly. The good thing about Forex is that is a very liquid market, so you can pull out any time you want - or on the flip side can invest in a click of a mouse. With these in mind when investing, you will have the key to developing the best Forex trading strategy.
Always set yourself some realistic targets and limits to ensure that you do not spend too much money. Also, do not fall prey to the gambling endemic that is afflicting many Forex traders - this means they simply cannot stop trading no matter how much they loose and they often make irrational decisions in order to 'win' back the money that they have lost. Set yourself some parameters and stick to them, you will regret the fact that you account has run dry and you start to owe the brokerage a sum of money. Also, always have some risk capital on hand so that when things do go wrong, you will be able to bail yourself out. The total sum of your investment and risk capital should be an amount that you are able to afford.
Nobody should go into trading with their life savings in tow. The capital you put into the commodities market should be capital you can spend and if you do lose, will not have an adverse affect on your life style. That said, Forex trading is all about watching market patterns and market psychology. Unlike normal and traditional commodities trading, many people would say that the Forex market falls into a pattern when it comes to either a crisis or an upheaval within currencies. Issues like inflation, political violence and economic decisions can adversely affect the performance of the currency pair you have chosen. But there is always a pattern and this pattern is the structure of many trading strategies of experienced investors. For example, you must learn that there are many 'safe' currencies in the market that investors flock to when there is wind of a calamity in global economies. This is just one aspect.
Market psychology is ruled by major decisions my collective moves in the market. Because of the fact that huge multicontinental banks are the biggest driving forces within the FX market, they have pre planned moves when situations come up. Your job as an investor is to read the signs and react accordingly. The good thing about Forex is that is a very liquid market, so you can pull out any time you want - or on the flip side can invest in a click of a mouse. With these in mind when investing, you will have the key to developing the best Forex trading strategy.
10/20/09
15 Major Day Trading Hints
However you can make immeasurable gains in day trading,you are also expected to expend huge money.On the other hand, if you want to do day trading the following tips and guidelines are here to make you succeed:
Who is day trader?
A person who actively associate within stock market and buys and sells frequently in a day to make quick income is called a day trader.
What are the following tips to succeed in day trading? Here are the 15 list of tips to guide you to succeed:
1. Study the fundamentals of the system like the functioning of the market, schedule to buy and sell, which way the stocks will be operate, and the long and short calls.You consider also learn to take care of the profits while cutting down the losses.
2. In view of excel in day trading is a time consuming process, apply the trading platform available on the trading websites before you actually start.
3. Avoid the thought of making losses let you to scare. Use strategies like stop orders to reduce your losses.
4. Do not worry, If you suffer some loss, as it is a portion of the process.
5. Stop trading, once you have earned your expected profit. Do not hunger after more money and throw away your profit.
6. Assuming that the market does not meet your expectations on each and every particular day, do not trade.
7. During the time that your experience in day trading increases, you gain the ability to foreknow the direction in which the stock price moves. But avoid to go for the lowermost or the topmost stocks.
8. If you find it crucial to decide in which way the market is going, do not trade but just paused and wait.
9. Keep up a record of the results of the day trading. It give permission you to learn the things which are effective, as well as ineffective.
10. Acquire some information about buying and selling tactics of successful day traders. These traders commonly sell when there is good news and buy when there is bad news.
11. Being aloof and professional is the main characteristics of being trader and don't be emotional.
12. Have confidence on your instincts as rely upon excessively on the analysis means skipping some good trading chances.
13. Be trained and use most important strategies to trade.
14. Concentrate and/or focus yourself only on a selected stocks. Sharpen your attention on various stocks will make it difficult for you to track the movement of each stock.
15. Educate yourself in a new trading strategies daily and use them to your benefit.
Who is day trader?
A person who actively associate within stock market and buys and sells frequently in a day to make quick income is called a day trader.
What are the following tips to succeed in day trading? Here are the 15 list of tips to guide you to succeed:
1. Study the fundamentals of the system like the functioning of the market, schedule to buy and sell, which way the stocks will be operate, and the long and short calls.You consider also learn to take care of the profits while cutting down the losses.
2. In view of excel in day trading is a time consuming process, apply the trading platform available on the trading websites before you actually start.
3. Avoid the thought of making losses let you to scare. Use strategies like stop orders to reduce your losses.
4. Do not worry, If you suffer some loss, as it is a portion of the process.
5. Stop trading, once you have earned your expected profit. Do not hunger after more money and throw away your profit.
6. Assuming that the market does not meet your expectations on each and every particular day, do not trade.
7. During the time that your experience in day trading increases, you gain the ability to foreknow the direction in which the stock price moves. But avoid to go for the lowermost or the topmost stocks.
8. If you find it crucial to decide in which way the market is going, do not trade but just paused and wait.
9. Keep up a record of the results of the day trading. It give permission you to learn the things which are effective, as well as ineffective.
10. Acquire some information about buying and selling tactics of successful day traders. These traders commonly sell when there is good news and buy when there is bad news.
11. Being aloof and professional is the main characteristics of being trader and don't be emotional.
12. Have confidence on your instincts as rely upon excessively on the analysis means skipping some good trading chances.
13. Be trained and use most important strategies to trade.
14. Concentrate and/or focus yourself only on a selected stocks. Sharpen your attention on various stocks will make it difficult for you to track the movement of each stock.
15. Educate yourself in a new trading strategies daily and use them to your benefit.
10/19/09
SECRETS THAT GENERATED 992 PIPS NET PROFIT IN 15 FOREX TRADING DAYS
There is no hype in this headline. This is the absolute truth. The following 13 secrets generated 992 pips net profits for me in 15 trading days.
1 do not over expose your account .maintain an account exposure of between 10% and 30%.
2 Always trust god to find and join the trend early. Always learn to test the strength of the trend with the ADX.
3 Understand your best entry and exit points using pivot points and/or fibonnacci retracements
4 Understand the key japanese candlesticks Reversal patterns.
5 Know when the market is down or when the trend is weak and trade accordingly or stay away.
6 Only use take profit according to predetermined market potential.
7 Buy in oversold markets: stochastic oscilliator and RSI can be used in determining this
8 sell in overbought market: stochastic oscilliator and RSI can be used in determining this.
9 Never entertain fear even when the market moves against you. If you have a good trading system., it will surely come back in your favour.
10 Do not be greedy: Show contentment in all things and this demon will be far from you.
11 Do not over trade: Learn to draw a line between over trading and fear.
12 Always pray before making a trading decision: There is always a guiding light from god if only you will trust him.
!3 Rely on the holy spirit for guidance. He is very dependable and will never leave noy forsake you if you surrender the battle to him.
1 do not over expose your account .maintain an account exposure of between 10% and 30%.
2 Always trust god to find and join the trend early. Always learn to test the strength of the trend with the ADX.
3 Understand your best entry and exit points using pivot points and/or fibonnacci retracements
4 Understand the key japanese candlesticks Reversal patterns.
5 Know when the market is down or when the trend is weak and trade accordingly or stay away.
6 Only use take profit according to predetermined market potential.
7 Buy in oversold markets: stochastic oscilliator and RSI can be used in determining this
8 sell in overbought market: stochastic oscilliator and RSI can be used in determining this.
9 Never entertain fear even when the market moves against you. If you have a good trading system., it will surely come back in your favour.
10 Do not be greedy: Show contentment in all things and this demon will be far from you.
11 Do not over trade: Learn to draw a line between over trading and fear.
12 Always pray before making a trading decision: There is always a guiding light from god if only you will trust him.
!3 Rely on the holy spirit for guidance. He is very dependable and will never leave noy forsake you if you surrender the battle to him.
10/6/09
The Most Important Deal of Your Life
When considering selling, it is vital that you establish a clear cut succession plan to ensure that you receive the correct financial reward for your career's work. It will take time and careful consideration to find the option that works best for you and there are plenty of questions to be raised before you choose which path is best for you.
In practice there are six main options for those looking to pass on or sell their business. Of course each situation is different and often a compromise between these will be required. However as a general rule at least one of the following scenarios will fit with most acquisitions within the broking sector.
Possibly the simplest option is to persuade your fellow directors to buy you out. This can often be agreed quickly and without too many problems as you are dealing with people whose trust and understanding you have gained over the years. The integrity of the business remaining unaffected and the lack of disturbance on your client base and staff are also great advantages. However, this form of buy out is dependant on finance being readily available to the remaining members of the board so it is not always viable.
Alternately an individual could sell their shares to an external third party. There is some risk in this as the wrong person coming in could cause difficulties with the remaining shareholders. The flip side however, is that if the right person comes on board then they can add an injection of new ideas and fresh life into the business propelling it forwards.
A long term strategy is to train an existing employee with a view to taking over the reins. This offers the prospect of instilling your existing values into the next generation of your company and goes some way to ensuring a legacy; however the obvious pitfall is the realisation of capital. Unless your protege has substantial personal wealth or you are a very generous employer, will they have the funds necessary to step in and buy you out when the time comes?
If all shareholders are in agreement then selling up to another firm is a common choice, but how will working under a new regime impact upon those that stay on? Can those members of the board that stay adapt to less business-critical roles so easily? Without the full backing of all the shareholders a successful deal cannot be agreed so negotiations need to reflect the needs of those who will remain as much as those who are looking to leave.
The final option is to face up to facts that liquidation may bring in more revenue than selling the company as a going concern. If the business is turning over just enough to stay afloat but retention rates are not sufficient enough to attract a The Most Important Deal of Your Life reasonable offer, it may be that the equity tied up in assets such as cars or property may be more profitable sold on their own. Again the decision to wind the company down is one not to be taken lightly as the welfare of your staff also enters the equation once again.
In practice there are six main options for those looking to pass on or sell their business. Of course each situation is different and often a compromise between these will be required. However as a general rule at least one of the following scenarios will fit with most acquisitions within the broking sector.
Possibly the simplest option is to persuade your fellow directors to buy you out. This can often be agreed quickly and without too many problems as you are dealing with people whose trust and understanding you have gained over the years. The integrity of the business remaining unaffected and the lack of disturbance on your client base and staff are also great advantages. However, this form of buy out is dependant on finance being readily available to the remaining members of the board so it is not always viable.
Alternately an individual could sell their shares to an external third party. There is some risk in this as the wrong person coming in could cause difficulties with the remaining shareholders. The flip side however, is that if the right person comes on board then they can add an injection of new ideas and fresh life into the business propelling it forwards.
A long term strategy is to train an existing employee with a view to taking over the reins. This offers the prospect of instilling your existing values into the next generation of your company and goes some way to ensuring a legacy; however the obvious pitfall is the realisation of capital. Unless your protege has substantial personal wealth or you are a very generous employer, will they have the funds necessary to step in and buy you out when the time comes?
If all shareholders are in agreement then selling up to another firm is a common choice, but how will working under a new regime impact upon those that stay on? Can those members of the board that stay adapt to less business-critical roles so easily? Without the full backing of all the shareholders a successful deal cannot be agreed so negotiations need to reflect the needs of those who will remain as much as those who are looking to leave.
The final option is to face up to facts that liquidation may bring in more revenue than selling the company as a going concern. If the business is turning over just enough to stay afloat but retention rates are not sufficient enough to attract a The Most Important Deal of Your Life reasonable offer, it may be that the equity tied up in assets such as cars or property may be more profitable sold on their own. Again the decision to wind the company down is one not to be taken lightly as the welfare of your staff also enters the equation once again.
The Most Important Deal of Your Life
When considering selling, it is vital that you establish a clear cut succession plan to ensure that you receive the correct financial reward for your career's work. It will take time and careful consideration to find the option that works best for you and there are plenty of questions to be raised before you choose which path is best for you.
In practice there are six main options for those looking to pass on or sell their business. Of course each situation is different and often a compromise between these will be required. However as a general rule at least one of the following scenarios will fit with most acquisitions within the broking sector.
Possibly the simplest option is to persuade your fellow directors to buy you out. This can often be agreed quickly and without too many problems as you are dealing with people whose trust and understanding you have gained over the years. The integrity of the business remaining unaffected and the lack of disturbance on your client base and staff are also great advantages. However, this form of buy out is dependant on finance being readily available to the remaining members of the board so it is not always viable.
Alternately an individual could sell their shares to an external third party. There is some risk in this as the wrong person coming in could cause difficulties with the remaining shareholders. The flip side however, is that if the right person comes on board then they can add an injection of new ideas and fresh life into the business propelling it forwards.
A long term strategy is to train an existing employee with a view to taking over the reins. This offers the prospect of instilling your existing values into the next generation of your company and goes some way to ensuring a legacy; however the obvious pitfall is the realisation of capital. Unless your protege has substantial personal wealth or you are a very generous employer, will they have the funds necessary to step in and buy you out when the time comes?
If all shareholders are in agreement then selling up to another firm is a common choice, but how will working under a new regime impact upon those that stay on? Can those members of the board that stay adapt to less business-critical roles so easily? Without the full backing of all the shareholders a successful deal cannot be agreed so negotiations need to reflect the needs of those who will remain as much as those who are looking to leave.
The final option is to face up to facts that liquidation may bring in more revenue than selling the company as a going concern. If the business is turning over just enough to stay afloat but retention rates are not sufficient enough to attract a reasonable offer, it may be that the equity tied up in assets such as cars or property may be more profitable sold on their own. Again the decision to wind the company down is one not to be taken lightly as the welfare of your staff also enters the equation once again.
In practice there are six main options for those looking to pass on or sell their business. Of course each situation is different and often a compromise between these will be required. However as a general rule at least one of the following scenarios will fit with most acquisitions within the broking sector.
Possibly the simplest option is to persuade your fellow directors to buy you out. This can often be agreed quickly and without too many problems as you are dealing with people whose trust and understanding you have gained over the years. The integrity of the business remaining unaffected and the lack of disturbance on your client base and staff are also great advantages. However, this form of buy out is dependant on finance being readily available to the remaining members of the board so it is not always viable.
Alternately an individual could sell their shares to an external third party. There is some risk in this as the wrong person coming in could cause difficulties with the remaining shareholders. The flip side however, is that if the right person comes on board then they can add an injection of new ideas and fresh life into the business propelling it forwards.
A long term strategy is to train an existing employee with a view to taking over the reins. This offers the prospect of instilling your existing values into the next generation of your company and goes some way to ensuring a legacy; however the obvious pitfall is the realisation of capital. Unless your protege has substantial personal wealth or you are a very generous employer, will they have the funds necessary to step in and buy you out when the time comes?
If all shareholders are in agreement then selling up to another firm is a common choice, but how will working under a new regime impact upon those that stay on? Can those members of the board that stay adapt to less business-critical roles so easily? Without the full backing of all the shareholders a successful deal cannot be agreed so negotiations need to reflect the needs of those who will remain as much as those who are looking to leave.
The final option is to face up to facts that liquidation may bring in more revenue than selling the company as a going concern. If the business is turning over just enough to stay afloat but retention rates are not sufficient enough to attract a reasonable offer, it may be that the equity tied up in assets such as cars or property may be more profitable sold on their own. Again the decision to wind the company down is one not to be taken lightly as the welfare of your staff also enters the equation once again.
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