First what is Forex: The FOREX or foreign exchange market is the largest financial market in the world, with a volume of more than $ 1.5 trillion daily, dealing in currencies. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location, no central exchange. It works through an electronic network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency to another.
The Forex or foreign currency, is about money. Money from all over the world are bought, sold and traded. In the Forex, anyone can buy and sell currency and possibly come to the end. In the case of the foreign currency, it is possible to buy the currency of one country, sell it and make a profit. For example, a broker can buy the Japanese yen when the yen to dollar ratio increases, then sell Yens and buy back American dollars for a profit. One of the best known and least understood theories of technical analysis in forex trading is the Elliot Wave Theory. Developed in the 1920s by Ralph Nelson Elliot as a method to predict the development of the stock market, the Elliot Wave theory applies fractal mathematics to movements in the market to make predictions based on crowd behavior. In essence, the Elliot Wave theory the market - in this case, the forex market - a step in a series of 5 swings upward and 3 swings back repeated constantly. But if it were so easy, everyone would make a killing by catching the wave and riding until just before the crash on the beach. Obviously there is much more on it.
One of the things that makes riding the Elliot Wave so tricky is timing - of all the major wave theories, it is the only one who does not set a time limit on the reactions and states of the market. A single fact is that the theories of fractal mathematics makes it clear that there are several rounds in the wave of waves. Interpretation of data and to find the right curves and the crest is a difficult process, giving rise to the claim that you can put 20 experts on the Elliot Wave theory in one room and they will never reach an agreement on how a stock - or in this case, a currency - is headed.
Elliot Wave Basics
All measures are followed by a reaction.
It is a common rule of physics that apply crowd behavior Elliot Wave theory is based. If prices fall, people will buy. When people buy, the demand increases and supply decreases driving prices again. Almost everyone who uses trend analysis to predict movements in the currency market is based on determining when those actions will cause reactions that make a trade profitable.
There are five waves in the direction of the main trend followed by three corrective waves (a "5-3" move).
The Elliot Wave theory is that market activity can be predicted in a series of five waves that move in one direction (trend), followed by three "right" waves that move the market back to its starting point.
A 5-3 move completes a cycle. And here, where the theory starts to get really complicated. Like the mirror reflecting a mirror reflecting a mirror reflecting a mirror, it was 5-3 wave is not only complete in itself, it is one involving a smaller series of waves, and a subset of a larger set of 5-3 waves - the next principle.
This 5-3 move then becomes two sections of the next higher 5-3 wave.
In Elliot Wave notation, the 5 waves that fit the trend are labeled 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 (impulses). The three correcting waves are called A, B and C (corrections). Each of these waves consists of a 5-3 series of waves, and each of them consisting of a 5-3 series of waves. The 5-3 cycle that you are studying is an impulse and correction in the next ascending 5-3 series.
The underlying 5-3 pattern remains constant, but the time span of each may vary.
A 5-3 wave may take decades to complete - or it may be over in minutes. Traders who are successful in using the Elliot Wavy theory to trade in the currency market say that the trick is timing trades coincide with the beginning and end of impulse capacity 3 to minimize the risk and maximize your profits.
Since the time of each sequence of waves varies so much, with the Elliot Wave theory is a matter of interpretation. Identify the best time to enter and leave a trade is dependent on to see and follow the pattern of larger and smaller waves, and know when to trade and when to get out based on the patterns you identify.
The important thing is to interpret the design right - to find the right starting point. When you learn to see the wave patterns and identify them correctly, say those who are experts, you see how they are applied in all aspects of forex trading, and will be able to use these patterns to view your decision if you trade days or in it for a long time.
7/25/09
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
0 comments:
Post a Comment